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Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020
Sat, May 16, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sacavenense U19 play Leiria U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sacavenense U19 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Leiria U19 averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Sacavenense U19 won 1, Leiria U19 won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 9, 2022 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Sacavenense U19 and 1.36 for Leiria U19. This points to a Leiria U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sacavenense U19
35%
Draws
45%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leiria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Sacavenense U19 picked up more points recently compared to Leiria U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacavenense U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 4 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19
2:3
Feb 12, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sacavenense U19
1:1
Jan 15, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sacavenense U19
1:2
May 16, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Leiria U19
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacavenense U19 22 / 100
Leiria U19 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacavenense U19 Leiria U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leiria U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sacavenense U19 attacking → ← attacking Leiria U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacavenense U19 scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Leiria U19 let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sacavenense U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Leiria U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25