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Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sacavenense U19 play Vitoria Setubal U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sacavenense U19 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Vitoria Setubal U19 averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Sacavenense U19 won 0, Vitoria Setubal U19 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sacavenense U19 and 1.18 for Vitoria Setubal U19. This points to a Vitoria Setubal U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sacavenense U19
24%
Draws
54%
Vitoria Setubal U19
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Vitoria Setubal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Sacavenense U19 picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria Setubal U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Setubal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacavenense U19 Vitoria Setubal U19
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:1
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
2:3
Oct 30, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:2
Jun 10, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacavenense U19 24 / 100
Vitoria Setubal U19 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacavenense U19 Vitoria Setubal U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Setubal U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vitoria Setubal U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sacavenense U19 attacking → ← attacking Vitoria Setubal U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacavenense U19 scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Vitoria Setubal U19 let in goals in 90% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Sacavenense U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Setubal U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 48
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria Guimaraes U1931205:35
2FC Porto U1931205:45
3Braga U1931114:24
4Leixoes U1930122:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U19330013:19
2Sporting CP U19320112:26
3Belenenses U1931023:133
4Academica U1930030:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pacos Ferreira U19842214:814
2Famalicao U19834112:1013
3Rio Ave U19831411:1010
4Vizela U19831412:1710
5Tondela U1982249:138
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alverca U191082034:926
2Estoril U191061324:1919
3Vitoria Setubal U191053219:1118
4Sacavenense U191051430:1316
5Amora U191021718:427
6Vilafranquense U191000104:350