Sport Picks
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Heart Health Park, Sacramento, CA 
Match Events
11'
11'
Perez A.
43'
43'
Crisostomo D.
46'
46'
Sub
Kleemann F. In: Wolff T.
Out: Kleemann F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sacramento Republic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Sacramento Republic haven't matched Colorado Springs's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 68%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Colorado Springs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sacramento Republic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Colorado Springs Compare
Top Goalscorer Maples T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sacramento Republic 41 / 100
Colorado Springs 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sacramento Republic Colorado Springs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sacramento Republic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sacramento Republic has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sacramento Republic's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Colorado Springs let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Sacramento Republic VS Colorado Springs
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sacramento Republic
(Home) 04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Detroit City
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Detroit City
23 Aug
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2 Phoenix Rising
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Lexington
Page 1 of 3
Colorado Springs
(Away) 04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0 Colorado Springs
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 San Antonio FC
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0 Colorado Springs
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1 Colorado Springs
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
20 Aug
Phoenix Rising
3 : 1 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
