Sport Picks
Sacramento Republic vs Minnesota United
USA
US Open Cup Heart Health Park 
Match Events
61'
61'
Crisostomo D.
62'
62'
Sub
Malango M. In: Wanner D.
Out: Malango M.
66'
66'
Sub
Hlongwane B. In: Pereyra J.
Out: Hlongwane B.
AI Match Summary
Sacramento Republic host Minnesota United in the US Open Cup. This one's hard to separate. Sacramento Republic have averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Minnesota United's 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Sacramento Republic have won 0 to Minnesota United's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.13) point toward Minnesota United. Minnesota United in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sacramento Republic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sacramento Republic demonstrates higher offensive output (1.5 avg goals) than Minnesota United (1.25 avg goals).
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Sacramento Republic.
- Cup tournament structure in US Open Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 68%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 US Open Cup
Sacramento Republic vs Minnesota United
0:1
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sacramento Republic 50 / 100
Minnesota United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sacramento Republic Minnesota United
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sacramento Republic scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Minnesota United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Sacramento Republic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Minnesota United lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sacramento Republic VS Minnesota United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples3
Red Force0
South Georgia Tormenta-
America CFL Spurs-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando City-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhode Island4
Faialense0
Motown0
Hartford Athletic2
Chattanooga2
Kalonji1
Tennessee Tempo1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Charlotte Independence4
Ristozi FC1
Charleston2
Florida Badgers1
Richmond Kickers2
Northern Virginia0
West Chester United1
Loudoun United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asheville City3
Greenville Triumph1
Vistula1
One Knoxville3
Vermont Green1
Portland Hearts of Pine0
Westchester SC2
NY Renegades0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Steel City1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Carolina Core1
Virginia Dream2
Flint City2
Forward Madison0
Detroit City5
Michigan Rangers1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
St. Louis City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Antonio FC6
New Stars0
Little Rock Rangers2
FC Tulsa4
Lexington9
Flower City Union0
Louisville City2
Southern Indiana0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Austin FC-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New Mexico3
Cruizers FC2
Laredo Heat0
El Paso Locomotive2
Colorado Springs3
Azteca0
Ventura1
Spokane Velocity2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting Kansas City-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Indy Eleven3
Menace0
BOHFS St. Louis0
Union Omaha8
AV Alta FC0
Valley 559 FC1
Sacramento Republic2
El Farolito0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orange County SC3
Laguna United0
Phoenix Rising4
San Ramon0
1/32-finals
FC Naples3
America CFL Spurs0
TBD-
Orlando City-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
Rhode Island2
Hartford Athletic0
Chattanooga1
Tennessee Tempo0
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
Charlotte Independence3
Charleston2
Richmond Kickers1
Loudoun United0
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
DC United-
TBD-
Asheville City1
One Knoxville2
Vermont Green0
Westchester SC1
TBD-
New York City-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Virginia Dream0
Flint City0
Detroit City1
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
St. Louis City-
TBD-
San Antonio FC0
FC Tulsa1
Lexington0
Louisville City2
TBD-
Austin FC-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
New Mexico0
El Paso Locomotive4
Colorado Springs2
Spokane Velocity1
TBD-
Sporting Kansas City-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
Indy Eleven1
Union Omaha2
Valley 559 FC0
Sacramento Republic4
TBD-
Minnesota United-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
Orange County SC1
Phoenix Rising2
1/16-finals
FC Naples0
Orlando City1
New England Revolution2
Rhode Island1
Chattanooga1
Atlanta United3
Charlotte FC6
Charlotte Independence0
Richmond Kickers0
Columbus Crew3
DC United3
One Knoxville4
Westchester SC2
New York City5
New York Red Bulls3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Detroit City1
Chicago Fire2
St. Louis City4
FC Tulsa0
Louisville City2
Austin FC1
Houston Dynamo4
El Paso Locomotive1
Colorado Springs3
Sporting Kansas City0
Colorado Rapids1
Union Omaha0
Sacramento Republic0
Minnesota United1
San Jose Earthquakes2
Phoenix Rising0
1/8-finals
Orlando City4
New England Revolution3
Atlanta United2
Charlotte FC0
Columbus Crew4
One Knoxville1
New York City3
New York Red Bulls1
Chicago Fire1
St. Louis City2
Louisville City1
Houston Dynamo2
Colorado Springs2
Colorado Rapids3
Minnesota United2
San Jose Earthquakes4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City4
Atlanta United1
Columbus Crew1
New York City0
St. Louis City3
Houston Dynamo2
Colorado Rapids2
San Jose Earthquakes0
Semi-finals
Orlando City-
Columbus Crew-
St. Louis City-
Colorado Rapids-
Final
TBD-
TBD-