Sport Picks
Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island
USA
USL Championship Heart Health Park 
AI Match Summary
Sacramento Republic play Rhode Island in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sacramento Republic averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Rhode Island averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Sacramento Republic won 2, Rhode Island won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 10, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sacramento Republic and 1.44 for Rhode Island. This points to a Rhode Island double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sacramento Republic picked up more points recently compared to Rhode Island.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sacramento Republic Compare
Rhode Island Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sacramento Republic scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Rhode Island let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Sacramento Republic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Rhode Island lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 10 | Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |