Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island

USA USA

USL Championship Heart Health Park
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Edwards K.
Assist: Kaye M.
24' Event
Bacharach Capdevila H.
Assist: Shapiro-Thompson A.
26'
Spaulding R.

AI Match Summary

Sacramento Republic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sacramento Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sacramento Republic
22%
Draws
60%
Rhode Island
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rhode Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Rhode Island have won more games recently than Sacramento Republic.
  • Model gives Rhode Island a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sacramento Republic here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 16%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacramento Republic Rhode Island
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island
2:1
Sep 10, 2025 USL Cup
Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Jun 21, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic
0:2
May 11, 2024 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sacramento Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malango M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rhode Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacharach Capdevila H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacramento Republic 19 / 100
Rhode Island 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacramento Republic Rhode Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacramento Republic's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rhode Island conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sacramento Republic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sacramento Republic VS Rhode Island
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1363418:1421
6Miami FC1656520:2421
7Pittsburgh Riverhounds1462616:1720
8Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax16141121:427
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1453622:2018
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215