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Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Heart Health Park, Sacramento, CA
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Match Events

41'
Hernandez J.
44'
Crisostomo D.
46'
Sub
Ricol L. In: Paredes L.
Out: Ricol L.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Sacramento Republic and San Antonio FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sacramento Republic
35%
Draws
16%
San Antonio FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sacramento Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • San Antonio FC haven't matched Sacramento Republic's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Sacramento Republic taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 68%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sacramento Republic San Antonio FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio FC
0:0
May 24, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Sacramento Republic
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Sacramento Republic
1:3
Jun 15, 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio FC
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Sacramento Republic
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacramento Republic 59 / 100
San Antonio FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sacramento Republic San Antonio FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sacramento Republic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacramento Republic has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sacramento Republic scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

San Antonio FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sacramento Republic VS San Antonio FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sacramento Republic

(Home)
11 Oct
Sacramento Republic
1 : 1
Colorado Springs
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

San Antonio FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Oakland Roots
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
4 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)