Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Safa Baku host Araz PFK in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Safa Baku at 1.31 goals for, 1.07 against; Araz PFK at 1.03 for, 1.93 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward Safa Baku. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Safa Baku | Araz PFK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Safa Baku's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Araz PFK let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Difficult form: Araz PFK registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Safa Baku
(Home)Araz PFK
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 | Turan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:12 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |