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Safa Baku vs Imisli FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League ASK Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Faracov S.
56'
Sub
Huseynli R. In: Zulfugarli I.
Out: Huseynli R.
67'
Sub
Nabiyev F. In: Morais F.
Out: Nabiyev F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Safa Baku and Imisli FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imisli FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Safa Baku
15%
Draws
42%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Safa Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Imisli FK's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Baku Imisli FK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.36 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Imisli FK
0:1
Apr 25, 2005 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Safa Baku
3:0
Nov 26, 2004 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Imisli FK
0:2
Nov 7, 2003 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Imisli FK
3:0
Jun 3, 2003 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Safa Baku
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 28 / 100
Imisli FK 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Baku Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imisli FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Safa Baku scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Imisli FK conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Imisli FK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS Imisli FK
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa Baku

(Home)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

Imisli FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)