Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Safa Baku vs Sabah FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League ASK Arena, Baku
Safa Baku Logo

Safa Baku

0 - 3
FT
Sabah FC Logo

Sabah FC

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mbina O.
30' Event
Khaybulaev A.
58'
Sub
Fuller T. In: Qanbarov V.
Out: Fuller T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Safa Baku and Sabah FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Safa Baku
15%
Draws
85%
Sabah FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sabah FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sabah FC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Sabah FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Baku Sabah FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Sabah FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sabah FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbina O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaybulaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 10 / 100
Sabah FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Baku Sabah FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa Baku scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sabah FC has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Sabah FC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS Sabah FC
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa Baku

(Home)
16 Oct
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Safa Baku
11 Oct
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Turan
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah FC
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

Sabah FC

(Away)
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2
Dortmund
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah FC
13 Oct
Sabah FC
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah FC
19 Sept
Sabah FC
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah FC 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)