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Safa Baku vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League ASK Arena, Baku
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Safa Baku host Turan in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Safa Baku at 1.41 goals for, 1.03 against; Turan at 1.19 for, 0.77 against. Past meetings favor Turan slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2005, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.31) point toward Turan. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Safa Baku
15%
Draws
59%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Safa Baku haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 18%
Turan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Baku Turan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2005 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Turan
0:3
Sep 11, 2004 Premier League
Turan vs Safa Baku
4:0
Apr 6, 2004 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Turan
2:0
Jul 25, 2003 Premier League
Turan vs Safa Baku
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 23 / 100
Turan 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Baku Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa Baku's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Turan has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Safa Baku went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS Turan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa Baku

(Home)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Sabah Baku 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
7 Kapaz 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 6 0 2 4 5:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)