Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Safa Baku

1 - 1

Zaqatala PFK

Our Tip

Match Events

55'

Cafarov E.

74'

Tahmazli O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Safa Baku

Draws

Zaqatala PFK

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Safa Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Safa Baku have won more games recently than Zaqatala PFK.
Model gives Safa Baku a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Safa Baku Clean Sheet 20%

Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Safa Baku	Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	8
Draws	9	4
Losses	4	18
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Safa Baku

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Dec 11, 2025 I Liqa

Safa Baku vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 18, 2025 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Safa Baku

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafarov E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahmazli O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 85 / 100

Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Safa Baku Zaqatala PFK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Safa Baku scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Zaqatala PFK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Safa Baku remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS Zaqatala PFK

1.25 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18