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Safa vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Safa play Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Safa averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Safa won 3, Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 24, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Safa and 0.94 for Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley. This points to a Safa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Safa
18%
Draws
28%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Safa picked up more points recently compared to Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Safa Clean Sheet 24%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Safa
2:2
Jan 27, 2023 Premier League
Safa vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1:0
Sep 9, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Safa
1:3
Apr 24, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
4:0
Apr 9, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Safa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zain Tahhan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 53 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Safa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Safa attacking → ← attacking Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Safa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 32
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00