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Safa vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

78'
Sawaya A.
78'
Sawaya A.
81' Event
Tneich A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Safa
30%
Draws
37%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ansar have won more games recently than Safa.
  • Win probability leans Safa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Ansar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Safa Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Al Ansar
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 16 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.55 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Safa
4:1
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ansar
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Safa
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ansar
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ansar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tneich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 34 / 100
Al Ansar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Safa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Safa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Ansar conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Al Ansar
2 Goals Scored 3.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Ansar

(Away)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)