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Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Safa host Al Riyadi Abbasiyah in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Safa at 1.61 goals for, 1.08 against; Al Riyadi Abbasiyah at 1.21 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Safa slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.56 - 1.44) back Safa to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Safa
20%
Draws
45%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Safa come out ahead of Al Riyadi Abbasiyah on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Safa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Safa Clean Sheet 16%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Safa
2:4
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 31 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Safa scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Safa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tripoli SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Hikma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Safa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Mabarrah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Sahel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Tadamon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Jwayya SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)