Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Safa vs Jwayya SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Simete T.
90' Event
Jawad Mohammad S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Safa and Jwayya SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jwayya SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Safa
20%
Draws
23%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Safa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Safa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jwayya SC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Jwayya SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Safa
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Jwayya SC vs Safa
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Jwayya SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawad Mohammad S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 95 / 100
Jwayya SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Safa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Jwayya SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Jwayya SC
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 6

Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)