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Safa vs Salam Zgharta

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Safa play Salam Zgharta in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Safa averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.02 conceded. Salam Zgharta averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Safa won 2, Salam Zgharta won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 10, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Safa and 0.94 for Salam Zgharta. This points to a Safa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Safa
31%
Draws
16%
Salam Zgharta
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Safa picked up more points recently compared to Salam Zgharta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Safa Clean Sheet 24%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Salam Zgharta
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 25 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.8 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Premier League
Safa vs Salam Zgharta
1:1
Jan 21, 2023 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Safa
0:1
Dec 4, 2022 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Safa
0:0
Jan 3, 2021 Premier League
Safa vs Salam Zgharta
5:0
Dec 1, 2019 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Safa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Shwayekh H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Salam Zgharta Compare

Top Goalscorer Geronimo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 53 / 100
Salam Zgharta 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Salam Zgharta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Safa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Safa attacking → ← attacking Salam Zgharta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa scored in 80% of their last 44 games.

Salam Zgharta let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Safa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Salam Zgharta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

83 Points in last 5 21
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00