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Safa vs Tripoli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Safa host Tripoli SC in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Safa at 1.65 goals for, 1.06 against; Tripoli SC at 0.94 for, 1.15 against. Past meetings favor Safa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2023, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 0.73 vs 0.48, favoring Safa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Safa
30%
Draws
31%
Tripoli SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Safa lately — more wins on the board than Tripoli SC.
  • Safa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Safa Clean Sheet 20%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Safa Tripoli SC
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.65 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Safa
2:4
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Safa
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Premier League
Safa vs Tripoli SC
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Premier League
Safa vs Tripoli SC
0:0
Apr 19, 2022 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Safa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa 49 / 100
Tripoli SC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Safa Tripoli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Tripoli SC conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Safa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Safa VS Tripoli SC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa

(Home)
08 Oct
Safa
2 : 1
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
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Tripoli SC

(Away)
09 Oct
Tripoli SC
1 : 1
Al Ahed
05 Jul
Al Ahed
:
Tripoli SC
23 May
Al Ghazieh
0 : 0
Tripoli SC
17 May
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tripoli SC
09 May
Tadamon
0 : 1
Tripoli SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Tadamon 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
4 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
11 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
12 Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)