Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sagadam vs FC Asgabat

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Asgabat in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Asgabat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sagadam
17%
Draws
70%
FC Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Asgabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Asgabat haven't matched Sagadam's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Asgabat a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sagadam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 16%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam FC Asgabat
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1
May 3, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 15 / 100
FC Asgabat 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam FC Asgabat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sagadam scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

FC Asgabat's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS FC Asgabat
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%