Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Sagadam and Kopetdag Asgabat finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagadam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sagadam
30%
Draws
18%
Kopetdag Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sagadam come out ahead of Kopetdag Asgabat on wins alone.
  • Sagadam are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 17%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam Kopetdag Asgabat
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
3:2
May 23, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
2:0
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
4:1
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 48 / 100
Kopetdag Asgabat 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam Kopetdag Asgabat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagadam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopetdag Asgabat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sagadam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sagadam scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS Kopetdag Asgabat
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagadam

(Home)
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
Page 1 of 6

Kopetdag Asgabat

(Away)
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
Page 1 of 6