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Sagadam vs Nebitci

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Sagadam and Nebitci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagadam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sagadam
20%
Draws
36%
Nebitci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sagadam come out ahead of Nebitci on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sagadam a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 17%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagadam Nebitci
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.93 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1
May 16, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Sagadam
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Nebitci
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagadam 41 / 100
Nebitci 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagadam Nebitci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nebitci conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Sagadam found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Sagadam has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sagadam VS Nebitci
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagadam

(Home)
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
15 Aug
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Sagadam
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Nebitci

(Away)
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
15 Aug
Merw
0 : 1
Nebitci
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