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Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu
Sagan Tosu Logo

Sagan Tosu

1 - 0
FT
Fujieda MYFC Logo

Fujieda MYFC

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Uehata U. In: Kitahara M.
Out: Uehata U.
46'
Sub
Hyon R. In: Jojo K.
Out: Hyon R.
64'
Sub
Manabe H. In: Kanemoto W.
Out: Manabe H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Sagan Tosu and Fujieda MYFC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagan Tosu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sagan Tosu
30%
Draws
35%
Fujieda MYFC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sagan Tosu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sagan Tosu taking it.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sagan Tosu have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 20%
Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagan Tosu Fujieda MYFC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 J2 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Sagan Tosu
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sagan Tosu Compare

Top Goalscorer Goto H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 42 / 100
Fujieda MYFC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagan Tosu Fujieda MYFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagan Tosu found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Fujieda MYFC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sagan Tosu remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sagan Tosu VS Fujieda MYFC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagan Tosu

(Home)
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
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Fujieda MYFC

(Away)
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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