Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu
Sagan Tosu Logo

Sagan Tosu

0 - 2
FT
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Imazu Y. In: Abe K.
Out: Imazu Y.
55'
Sub
Nakahara H. In: Izawa R.
Out: Nakahara H.
64'
Matsunagane Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sagan Tosu
15%
Draws
61%
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sagan Tosu haven't matched Kawasaki Frontale's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kawasaki Frontale's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Kawasaki Frontale arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kawasaki Frontale, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kawasaki Frontale here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 14%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagan Tosu Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.54 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 J.League Cup
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:2
Sep 13, 2024 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu
3:2
May 15, 2024 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale
5:2
Dec 3, 2023 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
May 7, 2023 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sagan Tosu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaichi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva Barbosa M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 11 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagan Tosu Kawasaki Frontale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sagan Tosu's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kawasaki Frontale let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Sagan Tosu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sagan Tosu VS Kawasaki Frontale
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagan Tosu

(Home)
31 Oct
Iwata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
28 Oct
Sagan Tosu
0 : 2
Kawasaki Frontale
25 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Vanraure
21 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Sagan Tosu
17 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

Kawasaki Frontale

(Away)
28 Oct
Sagan Tosu
0 : 2
Kawasaki Frontale
25 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Okayama
21 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Vissel Kobe
17 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 4
Kawasaki Frontale
14 Oct
Iwata
0 : 4
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 4
Yokohama FC 0
Okayama 3
Nagoya Grampus 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Iwata 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 0
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Urawa Reds 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sagan Tosu 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -