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Sagan Tosu vs Mito Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sagan Tosu and Mito finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagan Tosu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sagan Tosu
15%
Draws
59%
Mito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mito haven't matched Sagan Tosu's recent run of results.
  • Mito are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 18%
Mito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagan Tosu Mito
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Sagan Tosu vs Mito
4:2
Aug 23, 2025 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Mito
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 J2 League
Mito vs Sagan Tosu
1:0
Aug 28, 2011 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Mito
2:1
May 28, 2011 J2 League
Mito vs Sagan Tosu
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 10 / 100
Mito 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagan Tosu Mito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mito let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sagan Tosu's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sagan Tosu remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sagan Tosu VS Mito
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagan Tosu

(Home)
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
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Mito

(Away)
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7
Mito
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
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