Sport Picks
Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ogawa S.
48'
48'
Hyon R.
Assist: Yoshida M.
60'
60'
Sub
Hyon R. In: Nakahara H.
Out: Hyon R.
AI Match Summary
Sagan Tosu in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagan Tosu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Sagan Tosu at 1.57 per game, Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 1.43.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Sagan Tosu have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 17%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2:0
May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu
2:1
Jun 7, 2023 Emperors Cup
Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sagan Tosu Compare
Top Goalscorer Hyon R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yoshida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sagan Tosu 36 / 100
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sagan Tosu Tegevajaro Miyazaki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Sagan Tosu's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Sagan Tosu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sagan Tosu VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sagan Tosu
(Home) 10 Oct
Sagan Tosu
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1 Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sagan Tosu
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1 Verdy
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Iwaki
05 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26 Aug
Sagan Tosu
4 : 0 Toyama
Page 1 of 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
(Away) 07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
05 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
4 : 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26 Aug
Iwata
0 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
