Sport Picks
Sagan Tosu vs Toyama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu 
AI Match Summary
Sagan Tosu host Toyama in the J2 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Toyama have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Sagan Tosu have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Sagan Tosu have won 3 to Toyama's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Sagan Tosu. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Sagan Tosu come out ahead of Toyama on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Toyama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Sagan Tosu scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Toyama conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Sagan Tosu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sagan Tosu
(Home)Toyama
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Toyama | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Shonan Bellmare | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Oita Trinita | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:10 | 19 |
| 9 | Iwaki | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | 17 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | 17 |
| 12 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Blaublitz | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 14 | Iwata | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 16 | Vanraure | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 17 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11:13 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 19 | Imabari | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 20 | Kofu | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:27 | 11 |
