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Sagrada vs Primeiro de Maio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagrada host Primeiro de Maio in the Girabola. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Primeiro de Maio have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Sagrada have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Primeiro de Maio slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Primeiro de Maio to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sagrada
20%
Draws
40%
Primeiro de Maio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Primeiro de Maio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 20%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagrada Primeiro de Maio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Girabola
Sagrada vs Primeiro de Maio
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada
2:1
Apr 4, 2020 Girabola
Sagrada vs Primeiro de Maio
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada
1:0
Jul 8, 2018 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sagrada
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagrada 32 / 100
Primeiro de Maio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagrada Primeiro de Maio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sagrada scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Primeiro de Maio let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Sagrada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sagrada VS Primeiro de Maio
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagrada

(Home)
07 Oct
Sagrada
1 : 0
Kabuscorp
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
Page 1 of 6

Primeiro de Maio

(Away)
21 Sept
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 0
CD Lunda Sul
12 Sept
C.R.D. Libolo
2 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
23 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 1
Kabuscorp
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wiliete 5 5 0 0 12:1 15
2 Primeiro de Agosto 5 4 1 0 9:5 13
3 Bravos do Maquis 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
4 Petro Atletico 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
5 Interclube 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
6 Desportivo Huila 5 3 0 2 5:4 9
7 Primeiro de Maio 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Sagrada 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
9 C.R.D. Libolo 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
10 CD Lunda Sul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
11 Kabuscorp 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Caala 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 FC Luanda 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
14 Sao Salvador 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 Cabinda 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Academica 5 0 0 5 0:9 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)