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Sagrada vs Santos

Angola Angola

Girabola 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2013 game between Sagrada and Santos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagrada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sagrada
15%
Draws
36%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sagrada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sagrada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sagrada a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 18%
Santos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagrada Santos
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 13 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.31 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2013 Girabola
Sagrada vs Santos
3:1
May 12, 2013 Girabola
Santos vs Sagrada
1:1
Jul 14, 2012 Girabola
Sagrada vs Santos
1:0
Mar 10, 2012 Girabola
Santos vs Sagrada
1:3
Oct 15, 2011 Girabola
Santos vs Sagrada
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagrada 58 / 100
Santos 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagrada Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagrada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Sagrada scored in 71% of their last 42 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Santos registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagrada VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagrada

(Home)
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
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Santos

(Away)
03 Nov
Atletico do Namibe
0 : 1
Santos
26 Oct
Santos
0 : 3
Kabuscorp
20 Oct
Progresso Sambizanga
2 : 0
Santos
13 Oct
Santos
0 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Oct
Sagrada
3 : 1
Santos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kabuscorp 30 22 7 1 53:16 73
2 Primeiro de Agosto 30 17 7 6 43:22 58
3 Bravos do Maquis 30 14 10 6 39:22 52
4 Petro Atletico 30 13 7 10 36:22 46
5 Sagrada 30 11 13 6 35:27 46
6 Desportivo Huila 30 10 12 8 37:32 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:34 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 33:32 39
9 Progresso Sambizanga 30 10 8 12 33:33 38
10 Benfica Luanda 30 7 14 9 29:30 35
11 Caala 30 8 10 12 30:36 34
12 Primeiro de Maio 30 8 8 14 24:39 32
13 ASA 30 8 8 14 27:38 32
14 Porcelana 30 8 7 15 26:41 31
15 Atletico do Namibe 30 6 8 16 27:60 26
16 Santos 30 6 5 19 26:49 23
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