Sport Picks

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Sagrada vs Sporting de Cabinda

Angola Angola

Girabola 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Cachi
(Penalty)
25' Event
Calepi M.
35' Event
Celso

AI Match Summary

Sagrada in this Girabola 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagrada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sagrada
15%
Draws
36%
Sporting de Cabinda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sagrada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagrada lately — more wins on the board than Sporting de Cabinda.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Sagrada taking it.
  • Regular Girabola 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sagrada have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting de Cabinda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagrada Sporting de Cabinda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Girabola
Sporting de Cabinda vs Sagrada
2:2
Dec 23, 2023 Girabola
Sagrada vs Sporting de Cabinda
5:1
Apr 17, 2023 Girabola
Sagrada vs Sporting de Cabinda
3:0
Nov 28, 2022 Girabola
Sporting de Cabinda vs Sagrada
0:3
Feb 1, 2022 Girabola
Sagrada vs Sporting de Cabinda
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sagrada Compare

Top Goalscorer Calepi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sporting de Cabinda Compare

Top Goalscorer Toti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagrada 49 / 100
Sporting de Cabinda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagrada Sporting de Cabinda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagrada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting de Cabinda let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Sagrada scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Sporting de Cabinda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagrada VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagrada

(Home)
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
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Sporting de Cabinda

(Away)
29 May
Academica
2 : 1
Sporting de Cabinda
25 May
Sporting de Cabinda
1 : 2
Interclube
18 May
C.R.D. Libolo
4 : 2
Sporting de Cabinda
11 May
Sporting de Cabinda
2 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
08 May
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
Sporting de Cabinda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 28 20 7 1 58:11 67
2 Sagrada 28 18 7 3 45:15 61
3 CD Lunda Sul 28 13 11 4 35:19 50
4 Kabuscorp 28 12 8 8 36:27 44
5 Wiliete 28 10 11 7 31:24 41
6 Desportivo Huila 28 11 8 9 24:25 41
7 Primeiro de Agosto 28 8 14 6 32:24 38
8 Bravos do Maquis 28 11 4 13 29:28 37
9 Interclube 28 9 8 11 25:29 35
10 Academica 28 7 11 10 16:26 32
11 Sao Salvador 28 7 10 11 23:34 31
12 Santa Rita 28 7 5 16 22:40 26
13 C.R.D. Libolo 28 6 7 15 19:32 25
14 Uniao de Malanje 28 5 6 17 21:46 21
15 Sporting de Cabinda 28 5 5 18 27:63 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)