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Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Boutrif I.
24' Event
Messias

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sahdag Qusar
15%
Draws
39%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Karvan haven't matched Sahdag Qusar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sahdag Qusar a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 68%
Karvan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Karvan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan
2:0
Mar 22, 2014 I Liqa
Karvan vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Nov 16, 2013 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan
5:0
Mar 24, 2012 I Liqa
Karvan vs Sahdag Qusar
2:2
Oct 30, 2011 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutrif I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Karvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 95 / 100
Karvan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Sahdag Qusar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sahdag Qusar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Karvan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
21 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 0
Sabail
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)