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Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar host Sabail in the I Liqa. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sahdag Qusar have averaged 1.55 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Sabail's 2.33 scored and 0.78 conceded. Head-to-head, Sahdag Qusar have won 0 to Sabail's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.38, favoring Sabail. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sahdag Qusar
35%
Draws
27%
Sabail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sabail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 17%
Sabail Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Sabail
Matches Played 42 40
Wins 21 24
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.33
Goals Conceded 1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0
Dec 18, 2025 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
2:0
Mar 27, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Sabail
0:4
Nov 4, 2016 I Liqa
Sabail vs Sahdag Qusar
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 84 / 100
Sabail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Sabail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Sahdag Qusar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sahdag Qusar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sabail conceded in 40% of 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Sabail
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 9

Sabail

(Away)
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)