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Sahdag Qusar vs Shimal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Dec 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar host Shimal in the I Liqa. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sahdag Qusar have averaged 1.83 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Shimal's 1.17 scored and 2.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Sahdag Qusar slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.00, favoring Sahdag Qusar. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sahdag Qusar
15%
Draws
31%
Shimal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sahdag Qusar come out ahead of Shimal on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sahdag Qusar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Shimal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Shimal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Sahdag Qusar
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Shimal
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Shimal
4:2
Oct 29, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Shimal vs Sahdag Qusar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Shimal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Shimal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shimal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sahdag Qusar scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sahdag Qusar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Shimal
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
21 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 0
Sabail
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

Shimal

(Away)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
27 Oct
Shimal
0 : 6
Araz PFK
22 Oct
Shimal
5 : 2
Baku Sporting
15 Oct
Mingachevir
1 : 4
Shimal
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)