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Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Boutrif I.
19' Event
Bakhshaly M.
38' Event
Messias

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sahdag Qusar
20%
Draws
28%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sahdag Qusar lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK
6:0
Apr 22, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Feb 25, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Nov 20, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Feb 27, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhshaly M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Messias
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sahdag Qusar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Sahdag Qusar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Zaqatala PFK conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Zaqatala PFK
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
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Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)