Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahel vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue Stade Général Seyni Kountché, Niamey
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between Sahel and Police finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sahel
35%
Draws
23%
Police
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Police come out ahead of Sahel on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sahel a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Police Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahel Police
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Police
1:1
May 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Police
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs Sahel
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs Sahel
0:2
Dec 28, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Police
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahel 68 / 100
Police 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahel Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sahel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sahel scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Police let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sahel VS Police
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahel

(Home)
04 Oct
Urana
1 : 1
Sahel
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
03 Oct
Police
0 : 1
Tagour
26 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Police
16 Sept
Police
1 : 1
Wombeye
06 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
Police
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
4 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
5 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
6 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
8 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
9 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)