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Sahel vs Tagour - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue Stade Général Seyni Kountché, Niamey
Sahel Logo

Sahel

3 - 1
FT
Tagour Logo

Tagour

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sahel in this Super Ligue matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sahel
35%
Draws
20%
Tagour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sahel have won more games recently than Tagour.
  • Sahel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Tagour Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahel Tagour
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.84 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Tagour
3:1
May 9, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Tagour
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Super Ligue
Tagour vs Sahel
2:1
Jul 2, 2024 Super Ligue
Tagour vs Sahel
3:1
Feb 16, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Tagour
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahel 85 / 100
Tagour 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahel Tagour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sahel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tagour's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Tagour has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahel VS Tagour
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahel

(Home)
10 Oct
Sahel
1 : 1
Police
04 Oct
Urana
1 : 1
Sahel
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
Page 1 of 7

Tagour

(Away)
03 Oct
Police
0 : 1
Tagour
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
23 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 0
Tagour
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 6 6 0 0 12:2 18
2 AS Garde Nationale 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
5 ASFAN 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
6 Niima 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
7 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
8 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
9 Douanes Niamey 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
10 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
11 Espoir 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
12 Liberte 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 AS ZAM 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
16 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)