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Saint-Denis vs Excelsior

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint-Denis and Excelsior finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Saint-Denis
20%
Draws
48%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior haven't matched Saint-Denis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 20%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Denis Excelsior
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.09 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Excelsior
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Denis
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Denis
3:2
Jun 23, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Excelsior
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint-Denis
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Denis 16 / 100
Excelsior 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Denis Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Denis scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saint-Denis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Denis VS Excelsior
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Denis

(Home)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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Excelsior

(Away)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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