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Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Antigua and Barbuda

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Kitts and Nevis play Antigua and Barbuda in the Friendly International 2019. Saint Kitts and Nevis are favorites here. Recently, Saint Kitts and Nevis averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.25 conceded. Antigua and Barbuda averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Kitts and Nevis won 4, Antigua and Barbuda won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2019 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Saint Kitts and Nevis and 1.79 for Antigua and Barbuda. This points to a Saint Kitts and Nevis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
6%
Draws
4%
Antigua and Barbuda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Antigua and Barbuda.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Saint Kitts and Nevis.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 11%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2019 Friendly International
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Antigua and Barbuda
4:3
Aug 25, 2019 Friendly International
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Antigua and Barbuda
3:0
Mar 30, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Antigua and Barbuda
1:0
Mar 3, 2012 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
0:1
Nov 9, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Antigua and Barbuda
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Kitts and Nevis 83 / 100
Antigua and Barbuda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Kitts and Nevis scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Antigua and Barbuda let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Saint Kitts and Nevis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Antigua and Barbuda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Kitts and Nevis VS Antigua and Barbuda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 33%
75% Over 3.5 17%