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Saint Louis vs Excelsior

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Regionale 1
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint Louis and Excelsior finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Saint Louis
30%
Draws
47%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of Saint Louis on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Excelsior have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 20%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Louis Excelsior
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.97 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint Louis
1:1
May 11, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Excelsior
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Excelsior
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint Louis
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Excelsior
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Louis 10 / 100
Excelsior 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Louis Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Louis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saint Louis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Excelsior has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint Louis VS Excelsior
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Louis

(Home)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Trois Bassins
2 : 1
Saint Louis
02 Nov
Saint Louis
0 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Saint Louis
1 : 0
Riviere des Galets
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Excelsior

(Away)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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