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Saint Louis vs Sioux Falls Spitfire

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Louis in this USL Premier Development League 2007 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Louis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Saint Louis
15%
Draws
34%
Sioux Falls Spitfire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint Louis lately — more wins on the board than Sioux Falls Spitfire.
  • Win probability leans Saint Louis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 17%
Sioux Falls Spitfire Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Louis Sioux Falls Spitfire
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2007 USL League Two
Saint Louis vs Sioux Falls Spitfire
3:1
May 19, 2007 USL League Two
Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Saint Louis
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Louis 84 / 100
Sioux Falls Spitfire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Louis Sioux Falls Spitfire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Louis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sioux Falls Spitfire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.

Saint Louis scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Saint Louis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Louis VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Louis

(Home)
15 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
09 Jul
FC Manitoba
4 : 1
Saint Louis
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 3
Saint Louis
05 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 0
Saint Louis
02 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
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Sioux Falls Spitfire

(Away)
14 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
6 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
13 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
0 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
08 Jul
Sioux Falls Spitfire
4 : 1
Kansas City Brass
06 Jul
Colorado Rapids U23
4 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
01 Jul
St. Louis Lions
2 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
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