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Saint-Luc vs Sanga Balende Prediction & H2H Stats

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Saint-Luc and Sanga Balende finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Saint-Luc
30%
Draws
52%
Sanga Balende
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanga Balende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanga Balende carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Saint-Luc Clean Sheet 20%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Luc Sanga Balende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.7 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Saint-Luc
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Sanga Balende
1:1
Aug 19, 2012 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Sanga Balende
1:1
Mar 20, 2012 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Saint-Luc
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Luc 36 / 100
Sanga Balende 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Luc Sanga Balende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanga Balende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanga Balende has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Saint-Luc remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Saint-Luc found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Saint-Luc VS Sanga Balende
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Luc

(Home)
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
05 Apr
Don Bosco
3 : 1
Saint-Luc
02 Apr
Blessing
1 : 0
Saint-Luc
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

Sanga Balende

(Away)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2
Simba
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1
Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)