Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint-Luc vs Sanga Balende - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Luc host Sanga Balende in the Ligue 1. Sanga Balende are expected to control this from the start. Saint-Luc have averaged 0.65 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Sanga Balende's 0.86 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Saint-Luc slightly — 0-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sanga Balende. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Saint-Luc
35%
Draws
41%
Sanga Balende
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanga Balende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sanga Balende carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Saint-Luc Clean Sheet 20%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Luc Sanga Balende
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.65 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Saint-Luc
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Sanga Balende
1:1
Aug 19, 2012 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs Sanga Balende
1:1
Mar 20, 2012 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Saint-Luc
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Luc 36 / 100
Sanga Balende 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Luc Sanga Balende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanga Balende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanga Balende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Saint-Luc went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Luc scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Luc VS Sanga Balende
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Luc

(Home)
05 Nov
Saint-Luc
0 : 1
Lubumbashi Sport
30 Oct
Tanganyika
1 : 1
Saint-Luc
26 Oct
Saint-Luc
0 : 0
Manika
20 Oct
Simba
2 : 0
Saint-Luc
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
Page 1 of 7

Sanga Balende

(Away)
30 Oct
Lubumbashi Sport
1 : 0
Sanga Balende
26 Oct
Sanga Balende
1 : 1
Tanganyika
21 Oct
Manika
0 : 0
Sanga Balende
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanganyika 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Lubumbashi Sport 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Malole 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
4 St Eloi Lupopo 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
5 Don Bosco 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Simba 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
7 Manika 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
8 Blessing 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 New Soger 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
10 Butras 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
11 Sanga Balende 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Saint-Luc 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
13 Mazembe 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celeste 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 AS Maniema 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Ufalya Simba 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
4 FC MK Etancheite 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
5 Etoile de Kivu 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 FC Renaissance 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Etoile du Congo 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 AS Vita Club 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
9 Aigles du Congo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 Dauphins Noirs 4 0 3 1 0:1 3
11 AC Rangers 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
12 New Jack 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
13 Novakin 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)