Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet

Saint Lucia

2 - 1

Barbados

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Richards D.

Assist: Reid-Stephen N.

17'

Small R.

40'

Sub

Catlyn L. In: Hinkson C.

Out: Catlyn L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Saint Lucia and Barbados finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Lucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Saint Lucia

15%

Draws

42%

Barbados

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Saint Lucia carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Barbados a 42% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%

Barbados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Saint Lucia	Barbados
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	8
Draws	3	6
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.21	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.79	2.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

Saint Lucia vs Barbados

2:1

Mar 6, 2019 Friendly International

Saint Lucia vs Barbados

0:2

Jul 3, 2017 Friendly International

Barbados vs Saint Lucia

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Elva C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Richards D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia 18 / 100

Barbados 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Saint Lucia Barbados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barbados Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Lucia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Barbados let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Barbados registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Lucia VS Barbados

0.75 Goals Scored 1.88

3 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lucia

(Home)

27 Mar

Azerbaijan

6 : 1

Saint Lucia

16 Nov

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

3 : 1

Saint Lucia

12 Nov

Cuba

3 : 0

Saint Lucia

10 Jun

Saint Lucia

2 : 1

Barbados

06 Jun

Curacao

4 : 0

Saint Lucia

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Barbados

(Away)

29 Mar

Barbados

2 : 3

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

26 Mar

Saint Martin

3 : 1

Barbados

15 Nov

Barbados

0 : 3

Aruba

12 Nov

Barbados

3 : 2

Bonaire

10 Jun

Saint Lucia

2 : 1

Barbados

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