Sport Picks

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Saint Lucia vs Bermuda

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Caull K.
Assist: Frederick K.
18' Event
Caull K.
Assist: Elva C.
35' Event
Caull K.
Assist: Byron S.

AI Match Summary

Saint Lucia in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Lucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Saint Lucia
15%
Draws
21%
Bermuda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Saint Lucia have won more games recently than Bermuda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 18%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lucia Bermuda
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Caull K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Burchall A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia 36 / 100
Bermuda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lucia Bermuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bermuda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Saint Lucia scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Bermuda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Saint Lucia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Lucia VS Bermuda
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lucia

(Home)
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1
Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
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Bermuda

(Away)
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7
Curacao
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