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Saint Lucia vs Dominica Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2019 game between Saint Lucia and Dominica finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Lucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Saint Lucia
15%
Draws
34%
Dominica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominica haven't matched Saint Lucia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saint Lucia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 12%
Dominica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Lucia Dominica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Dominica
3:1
Jun 9, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Saint Lucia
0:1
Oct 6, 2019 Friendly International
Saint Lucia vs Dominica
1:4
Oct 4, 2019 Friendly International
Saint Lucia vs Dominica
3:1
Mar 4, 2019 Friendly International
Saint Lucia vs Dominica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Lucia 83 / 100
Dominica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Lucia Dominica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Lucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Saint Lucia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dominica let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Dominica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Lucia VS Dominica
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Lucia

(Home)
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0
Guadeloupe
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1
Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
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Dominica

(Away)
04 Oct
Guyana
8 : 1
Dominica
01 Oct
Dominica
1 : 5
Guyana
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
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