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Saint-Malo vs Bayonne

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National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bangoura D.
90' Event
Verronneau A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Saint-Malo and Bayonne finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Saint-Malo
44%
Draws
20%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayonne come out ahead of Saint-Malo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 23%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Bayonne
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Bayonne
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Bayonne vs Saint-Malo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verronneau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bayonne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 37 / 100
Bayonne 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Bayonne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bayonne let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Saint-Malo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Bayonne
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325