Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint-Malo vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cottereau A.
53' Event
Allemand T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saint-Malo
35%
Draws
34%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee have won more games recently than Saint-Malo.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Malo taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 68%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.34 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs La Roche Vendee
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 National 1 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Saint-Malo
3:3
Jan 24, 2025 National 1 - Group B
La Roche Vendee vs Saint-Malo
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs La Roche Vendee
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cottereau A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Allemand T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 50 / 100
La Roche Vendee 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo La Roche Vendee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Saint-Malo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

La Roche Vendee let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS La Roche Vendee
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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La Roche Vendee

(Away)
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)