Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint-Malo vs Pontivy

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Glao D.
72' Event
Le Gal Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Saint-Malo
35%
Draws
18%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontivy haven't matched Saint-Malo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saint-Malo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo Pontivy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Pontivy
1:1
Dec 5, 2015 Coupe de France
Saint-Malo vs Pontivy
3:0
Mar 14, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Saint-Malo vs Pontivy
2:0
Oct 18, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Saint-Malo
1:1
Mar 29, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Saint-Malo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Glao D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Pontivy Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Gal Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 85 / 100
Pontivy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pontivy conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Saint-Malo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Malo scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS Pontivy
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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Pontivy

(Away)
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)