Sport Picks
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
National 1 - Group B 
Match Events
16'
16'
Ndilu B.
36'
36'
Capoue L.
72'
72'
Glao D.
AI Match Summary
Saint-Malo in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Malo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Saumur Olympique.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Saint-Malo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Saint-Malo have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint-Malo | Saumur Olympique |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Saint-Malo
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Saumur Olympique
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs Saint-Malo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saint-Malo Compare
Top Goalscorer Capoue L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Glao D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Saumur Olympique Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndilu B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saint-Malo 85 / 100
Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saint-Malo Saumur Olympique
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saumur Olympique's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Saint-Malo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Saint-Malo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saint-Malo VS Saumur Olympique
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saint-Malo
(Home) 03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0 Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0 St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0 Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4 Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0 St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0 Stade Briochin
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1 Pontivy
09 May
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Dinan
Page 1 of 3
Saumur Olympique
(Away) 03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4 Stade Briochin
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0 Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1 Pontivy
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0 Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0 Saumur Olympique
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0 Saumur Olympique
16 May
Bayonne
3 : 2 Saumur Olympique
02 May
Dinan
6 : 0 Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angouleme CFC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Bayonne | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Granville | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Avranches | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Dinan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 7 | Tarbes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Lorient II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Poire Sur Vie | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Briochin | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 11 | Les Herbiers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 12 | St. Colomban Locmine | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Saumur Olympique | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontivy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 16 | Chauray | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
