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Stadium Background

Saint-Malo vs St. Colomban Locmine

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Barroug S.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Saint-Malo and St. Colomban Locmine finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saint-Malo
35%
Draws
25%
St. Colomban Locmine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Saint-Malo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saint-Malo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 20%
St. Colomban Locmine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo St. Colomban Locmine
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.44 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs St. Colomban Locmine
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs St. Colomban Locmine
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 National 1 - Group A
St. Colomban Locmine vs Saint-Malo
1:0
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Colomban Locmine vs Saint-Malo
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs St. Colomban Locmine
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroug S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

St. Colomban Locmine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo 85 / 100
St. Colomban Locmine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo St. Colomban Locmine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Saint-Malo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Malo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: St. Colomban Locmine conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Malo VS St. Colomban Locmine
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Malo

(Home)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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St. Colomban Locmine

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
05 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 1
Dinan
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)