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Stadium Background

Saint-Malo W vs Caen W

France France

Division 2 Women 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W play Caen W in the Division 2 Women 2016/2017. Saint-Malo W are favorites here. Recently, Saint-Malo W averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Caen W averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Saint-Malo W won 2, Caen W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Saint-Malo W and 1.00 for Caen W. This points to a Saint-Malo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Saint-Malo W
25%
Draws
15%
Caen W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint-Malo W picked up more points recently compared to Caen W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 23%
Caen W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo W Caen W
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.53 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Caen W
2:0
Nov 6, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Caen W vs Saint-Malo W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo W 59 / 100
Caen W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo W Caen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Saint-Malo W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint-Malo W attacking → ← attacking Caen W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Caen W let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Saint-Malo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Caen W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 19
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lille W22165169:953
2La Roche W22161575:3049
3Arras W22135436:1444
4Saint-Malo W22116540:2439
5Reims W2296724:2433
6Saint-Maur W2295850:4132
7Brest W2286821:2830
8Rouen W22921131:3729
9Le Mans W22751028:3926
10Lorient W22461226:3518
11Caen W22341513:5013
12Boulogne W2203198:903
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Val d'Orge W22163366:1951
2Dijon W22155251:2350
3Grenoble W22154352:2349
4Toulouse W22135446:1944
5Vendenheim W22104833:2934
6Nimes W2276929:4027
7Yzeure Allier W2267929:3125
8Metz ESAP W2267933:2925
9Aurillac W22551220:3620
10Clermont W22551222:4520
11Toulon W22181317:5911
12Le Puy W2215169:548