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Saint-Malo W vs Grenoble W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo W play Grenoble W in the Seconde Ligue Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint-Malo W averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Grenoble W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Saint-Malo W won 0, Grenoble W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Saint-Malo W and 1.00 for Grenoble W. This points to a Grenoble W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Saint-Malo W
40%
Draws
30%
Grenoble W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Grenoble W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint-Malo W picked up more points recently compared to Grenoble W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 23%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Malo W Grenoble W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Grenoble W
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Saint-Malo W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pian J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Grenoble W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baga L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Malo W 32 / 100
Grenoble W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Malo W Grenoble W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Grenoble W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint-Malo W attacking → ← attacking Grenoble W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Malo W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Grenoble W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Saint-Malo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grenoble W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 44
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469